Saturday, Feb 9
Louisiana: Hillary enjoys the support of popular Sen. John Breaux, but the state has a large black voter base which should turn out in large numbers. Advantage: Obama.
Nebraska: A red state: Hillary has lined up Bob Kerrey (who may be in line for a VP nod in her administration). Obama counters with support from Sen Ben Nelson and the mayor of Omaha--he also ran up a crushing win in neighboring Kansas. Advantage-Obama.
Washington: A long history of supporting women--both senators and the Gov. are women. Hillary has been endorsed by both Senators but Obama picked up the Gov. endorsement today. The usually reliable SUSA has Obama up by +10, and it is a caucus state, but I'll buck the trend. Advanage: Push
Sunday Feb 10:
Maine: Hillary has the state party apparatus behind her, and the demographics do not favor Obama. Only thing in his favor is that Maine is a caucus state and his team has done well in that format. Advantage: Hillary
Then we move on to the Potomac primaries (MD/VA/DC) and Wisconsin. There's a high probability that Obama will sweep.
But...Hillary will rack up some delegates, even in states where she loses by a big margin. As she pointed out after SC: It's all about delegates.
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