Wednesday, February 6, 2008

Prognostication

I guess I did ok.

As predicted, Clinton carries slightly more delegates and popular vote...but by a very narrow margin.

Both sides spin the result as "victory". Hillary's team actually behaves as if it is all over and looks ahead to November---a good tactic. Team Clinton in full gloat mode about winning MA despite Kennedy/Kerry support for Obama.

Obama: Massachusetts was a bit of a let down--they would have liked to pull off the upset there. California was close enough--no win, but they collected some delegates. On the upside, the wins in Deleware, Missouri, and Connecticut (Hillary's turf) were a plus: In fact he won 13 states to Clinton's 9.

Next round: Louisiana and the Potomac primary (MD/VA/DC). Should be favorable to Obama, but he needs a big day.

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