Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Stretch run

...some folks are saying the Democratic contest will go all the way to Denver, but there is a scenario which brings closure in March.

Obama can seize victory before spring if:

  • Predictions of huge margins of victory in DC/VA/MD today prove true.
  • He wins in Wisconsin.
  • Pulls off the upset wins in OH and TX March 4th.

The way things are playing out March 4th might just be Hillary's last stand: By then she may have likely lost 8 straight contests (9 if you add in the Virgin Islands). On the eve of the Potomac primaries her support is wavering.

Obama still well behind in TX and OH, but working hard in both states, and has lots of money to spend. He can seal the deal before the snows melt.

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